aPlanner is in MVP validation (Oct–Dec 2026). Figures are design targets. Join the 2027 Korea pilot →
MODULE 3 · SCENARIO SIMULATION

Test every decision before you make it

Simulation lets planners compare ranked, feasible options in minutes — with the risk quantified and the reasoning attached.

AI Assistant — three solver-validated candidate plans X / Y / Z
DESIGN TARGET
Target: minutes per scenario
vs. days in Excel — unlimited scenarios, quantified risk

Target figures are design targets from simulation on synthetic fab data. aPlanner has no customer deployments yet; first pilot results are expected in 2027.

What it is, what it solves, what it brings

What it is

A Monte-Carlo what-if engine with templates (tool down, +20% hyperscaler order, yield −10%, node migration), side-by-side KPI comparison and an AI-recommended plan. Every scenario is a solver-validated plan version, not a spreadsheet copy.

What problem it solves

A scenario takes days in Excel, so planners test one or two options and decide by gut feel — an estimated US$15–25M a year of sub-optimal decisions per large fab.

What benefit it brings

Target: minutes per scenario (95% faster); unlimited scenarios; quantified risk at P50 / P80 / P95; decisions the whole team can defend because each option carries its explanation.

IN THE MVP

Compare, ask, acknowledge, commit

October 2026 MVP build on a synthetic fab dataset: a furnace-down re-plan compared against the published plan, quarantine scenarios proposed by the assistant, and the frozen-zone acknowledgement before commit.

Compare Plan A / Plan B — 11 batches change, DIFF-FURN red 3 days, Customer K milestone P80 +3 d
AI Assistant — OCAP quarantine and two re-plan scenarios
Frozen-zone acknowledgement — the planner authorises the 0–72 h override before fan-out

Capabilities

Every scenario is a full solver run on the live plan — so what you compare is what the fab would actually run.

What-if on any variable

Change demand, capacity, yield, priorities or constraints and see the impact on schedule, commitments and tool load.

Monte-Carlo risk wrap

Cycle-time and yield distributions are sampled around the solver result so each milestone shows P50 / P80 / P95 exposure.

Side-by-side compare

Plan A vs. Plan B: which batches change, which tool groups go red, which customer milestones move — on one screen.

Conversational scenarios

Ask the assistant in plain language — "hold Customer K at +2 d without hurting the automotive lot" — and get ranked, solver-checked options.

Template library

Tool down, hot lot, yield excursion, +25% hyperscaler QLC demand, node migration — the situations a fab planner meets every quarter.

Commit with governance

Preview, acknowledge frozen-zone overrides, then commit; the fan-out to dispatch and customers is automatic and logged.

Scenario templates

ScenarioQuestion answered
Tool downFurnace FURN-02 fails on Saturday night — what is the smallest defensible re-plan?
Hot lotAn automotive lot must be out three days early — who else is affected?
Yield excursionYield drops 2% on one product — which commitments are exposed at P80?
Demand spikeA hyperscaler pulls 2,000 QLC wafers forward two weeks — which TLC starts to defer?
Node migrationHow do we ramp 236L while 176L declines, with shared tools and one demand plan?
Capacity changeWhat if we add a second scanner shift for four weeks?
Priority conflictWhich customer to protect when the bottleneck is over capacity?
Quarterly revisionRevised S&OP demand is published — what wafer-start plan maximizes good-die output?

Run your scenarios on your own line in 2027

Join the Korea pilot program, or walk through the prototype use cases first.